Will Satoshi Nakamoto sell any Bitcoin in 2026
- Volume
- $4,486,589.12
- Bids
- 1,225
- Closes
- Jan 1, 2027
Where the money is
The line tracks the share of staked money sitting on YES. Odds are fixed, so this is what each bid moves.
Rules and settlement
Will Satoshi Nakamoto Sell Any Bitcoin in 2026?
This market resolves YES if Bitcoin that can reasonably be attributed to Satoshi Nakamoto is transferred to an address or addresses in a manner that constitutes a sale or disposal during 2026. This includes a transaction where Satoshi-attributed BTC is sent to a cryptocurrency exchange or other identifiable venue for the purpose of selling.
The market resolves NO if no qualifying sale or disposal of Satoshi-attributed Bitcoin occurs between January 1 and December 31, 2026.
Resolution will be based on publicly verifiable blockchain data and reputable reporting identifying the relevant Bitcoin as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto.
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